What matters to economic decision-making is whether the economy has become more or less predictable. People and businesses use information around them to form judgements about what might happen in the future. The rise in uncertainty might be associated with increased concern about extreme...

An alternative theoretical setting is presented to characterise the money demand and the monetary equilibrium. Two main hypotheses are stated that contradict the assumptions normally sustained by scholars and policy-makers: National output is assumed to be a random variable, and people are...

When income growth under price dispersion reduces the time of search and raises prices of purchases, the increase in purchase price can be presented as the increase in the willingness to pay for insurance or the willingness to pay for consumer credit. The optimal consumer decision represents the...

This paper introduces a new method of estimating indifference curves in the Marschak-Machina triangle. The method involves posing questions about indifference. Contrary to previous attempts, where subjects were required to identify those lotteries to which they were indifferent vis-à-vis a...

A common explanation for biases in judgment and choice has been to postulate two separate processes in the brain: a “System 1” that generates judgments automatically, but using only a subset of the information available, and a “System 2” that uses the entire information set, but is only...

In this post the contents of the book "Introduction to Sub-Interval Analysis and its Applications" are briefly reviewed in the Russian language, for the convenience of Russian and Russian-speaking readers.

Safety, fast and regularity were and continue to be the Civil Aviation’s objectives; their order invariably defines their importance. This means civil aviation firstly strives safety and after, all other objectives follow. Thus, as industry advanced toward the attainment of safety by means of...

In a world characterized by the occurrence of uncontrollable and extreme events investors are often required to make decisions on the basis of the available information. The challenge they face is how to manipulate these information sets in order to get what can lead them to the optimal...

Recent studies show that traveler’s scheduling preferences compose a willingness-to-pay function directly corresponding to aggregate measurement of travel time variability under some assumptions. This property makes valuation on travel time variability transferable from context to context,...

In this paper we develop the theory of uncertainty in a context where the risks assumed by the individual are measurable and manageable. We primarily use the definition of lottery to formulate the axioms of the individual's preferences, and its representation through the utility function von...