Showing 1 - 10 of 848
We address the problem of likelihood based inference for correlated diffusion processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Such a task presents two interesting problems. First, the construction of the MCMC scheme should ensure that the correlation coefficients are updated subject...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836360
, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED … spread while the return forecasting (risk premium) factor is extracted by imposing a single factor structure on the one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540995
We improve both the specification and estimation of firm-specific betas. Time variation in betas is modeled by combining a parametric specification based on economic theory with a non-parametric approach based on data-driven filters. We increase the precision of individual beta estimates by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543014
, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED … spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor is extracted by imposing a single factor structure on excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497667
We address the problem of parameter estimation for diffusion driven stochastic volatility models through Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). To avoid degeneracy issues we introduce an innovative reparametrisation defined through transformations that operate on the time scale of the diffusion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616851
In this paper, we study the risk-return relationship in monthly U.S. stock returns (1928:1— 2004:12) using GARCH-in-Mean models. In particular, we consider the robustness of the relationship with respect to the omission of the intercept term in the equation for the expected excess return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622008
This paper shows that rare events are important in explaining the cross section of asset returns because of their role in shaping agents' expectations. I reconsider the "bad beta, good beta" ICAPM proposed by Campbell and Vuolteenaho and I point out that the explanatory power of the model relies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008619195
In this thesis I discuss flexible Bayesian treatment of the linear factor stochastic volatility model with latent factors, which proves to be essential in order to preserve parsimony when the number of cross section in the data grows. Based on the Bayesian model selection literature, I introduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011170534
The relationship between risk and return is one of the most studied topics in finance. The majority of the literature is based on a linear, parametric relationship between expected returns and conditional volatility. However, there is no theoretical justification for the relationship to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108168
model for beta forecasting. The seminal papers of Blume (1971) and Levy (1971) suggested that for both single security and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112188