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The recent global recession requires policy makers to identify the relative importance of shock transmission mechanisms in each region and devise counter policy measures against future idiosyncratic shocks. In the last decade, world dynamics have changed considerably due to increased openness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533255
In our recent paper, (Reinhart and Reinhart, 2010) we examine the behavior of real GDP (levels and growth rates), unemployment, inflation, bank credit, and real estate prices in a twenty one-year window surrounding selected adverse global and country-specific shocks or events. In this note, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642684
Globalization and strengthening of integration processes have, among other things, also influenced some solutions relating to monetary sovereignty of particular countries. A great number of transition countries as well as some other underdeveloped countries are facing both inefficiency in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620044
The Philippines has long been regarded as the weak sister of Asia, but in the Asian financial crisis it performed relatively well. This is not simply a matter of not being able to fall out of the basement, either—in mid-1997 the Philippines economy was forecasted to grow at more than six...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108196
In the physical world the “identity” of something is taken generally as a given; an apple is an apple; this apple is this apple. When dealing with planetary structure and extension into space, however, the problem of the planet’s “identity” in the surrounding cosmos is writ large. What...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109196
This paper presents interesting correlations which exist between a model of long-wave economic activity and crisis in the United States – “the Political Economy wave” – and the structure of the rings of Saturn, one of the most confounding structures known to science. At the present time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110430
Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing--and recovering--their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"--claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528727
¿Es verdaderamente la crisis financiera 2007-2008 de las hipotecas sub-prime en EEUU, un fenómeno nuevo y diferente? Nuestro examen de los registros históricos más extensos encuentra asombrosas similitudes, tanto cuantitativas como cualitativas, con 18 crisis financieras en países...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621371
The U.S recession of 2007 to 2009 is unique in the post-World-War-II experience by the broad company it kept. Activity contracted around the world, with the advanced countries of the North experiencing declines in spending normally the purview of the developing economies of the South. The last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577646
Michael D. Bordo has helped to define the modern field of monetary history, drawing from it important policy lessons for current practitioners. For his seventieth year, we survey his contributions to our understanding of the Great Depression, money and the economy in historical perspective,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113404