Markov chain theory is proving to be a powerful approach to bootstrap highly nonlinear time series. In this work we provide a method to estimate the memory of a Markov chain (i.e. its order) and to identify its relevant states. In particular the choice of memory lags and the aggregation of...

This paper focuses on the dynamics of welfare by studying the persistence and transition of poverty risk, social transfers, employment and unemployment in the four European Country Clubs as defined by Esping-Andersen, G. (1990) and Bertola et al. (2001). We model their evolution in a multistate...

Extending to infinite state spaces that are compact metric spaces a result previously attained by Dov Samet solely in the context of finite state spaces, a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a common prior for several players is given in terms of the players’ present...

This paper focuses on Greek labour market dynamics at a regional base, which comprises of 16 provinces, as defined by NUTS levels 1 and 2 (Eurostat, 2008), using Markov Chains for proportions data for the first time in the literature. We apply a Bayesian approach, which employs a Monte Carlo...

This study examines the relationship between farm size and productivity in U.S. agriculture during 1982-92. A nonparametric regression method is applied to detect ex-post geographical patterns in changes in farm size and productivity. The estimations show that (i) in 1982 productivity per acre...

This study investigates convergence in hired farm wages in U.S. counties over the period 1978-92. The time-invariant distribution of wages is characterized using Markov chains. This study is concerned with two questions: Are regional hired farm wages moving in the same direction? If so, are they...

The last years reflect, in term of macroeconomic development, the continuing advances in market-oriented reforms in the most countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Transition in this economic area includes the restructuring of politic, economic and social systems in accordance with the...

This paper focuses on performance measures based on a panel of 22 sectors of the Senegalese economy. A particular emphasis is made on the profitability which is the indicator looked at by both the government to identify sectors that need help, investors to know which sector is attractive and...

A class of nonlinear ARCH processes is introduced and studied. The existence of a strictly stationary and β-mixing solution is established under a mild assumption on the density of the underlying independent process. We give sufficient conditions for the existence of moments. The analysis...

We try to establish which is the structure that best defines the venezuelan foreign exchange market. Asking ourselves whether there exist a group of agents able to exert market power. We assume that the flow of currency between banks follows a first order stochastic Markov process of first...