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The aim of this article is to assess the sustainability of fiscal policy in 18 developing and emerging countries, using the recursive algorithm developed by Croce and Juan-Ramón (2003). In general, the results suggest that most countries were identified as presenting large unsustainable fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107664
In this paper we evaluate the fiscal sustainability of the Dominican Republic using the recursive algorithm proposed by Croce and Juan-Ramón (2003). The results indicate that the Dominican economy shows an unsustainable fiscal position in much of the period, but for the years 2014-2016 would be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110218
In this paper, we investigate the issues regarding the stabilization of public debt and its decrease down to 60 per cent of GDP for selected European Union countries using the primary balance derived from the public debt dynamic model as a leading indicator. We find that there is a high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262861
This paper investigates the relationship between public capital expenditure and public debt in the European Union (EU) on a panel of fifteen countries over the sample period 1980-2013. We find robust evidence of a negative cointegrating relation, according to which increases in the capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201279
We examine the historical dynamics of government debt in Post-Unification Italy, from 1861 to 2009. Unit root tests for the debt-GDP ratio are unable to reject either the non stationarity or the stationarity null hypothesis. Controlling debt dynamics for fiscal feedback policies of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805897
In this paper, we implement Bayesian econometric techniques to analyze a theoretical framework built along the lines of Farmer's micro-foundation of the General Theory. Specifically, we test the ability of a demand-driven search model with self-fulfilling expectations to match the behaviour of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109526
This study empirically examines on the role of international trade on economic growth in Mexico. To allow for potentially dynamic, as well as endogenous, patterns often associated with exports, imports, and growth, the analysis relies upon time series approaches involving causality and vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110530
Under general conditions, it has been proved that free trade improves the welfare of open economies. However, the conditions to attain the free trade equilibrium are non trivial: when the productive process is planned, industries do not know the price that will prevail, while the production is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258047
Traditional rational choice theories of voting state that, in a scenario with positive voting costs, people will vote only when they are pivotal. This hypothesis is contradicted by the frequent observation of relatively high rates of electoral turnout. Over the last few decades, several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113542
The assumption of the representative household defined as the average of all households is impossible in dynamic models if households are heterogeneous in their time preference rates because, as is well known, the most patient household eventually prevails. Because time preference rates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113953