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Previsão da eficácia ofensiva do futebol profissional: Um caso Português
Caiado, Jorge; Vieira, Aníbal; Bonito, Ana; Reis, Carlos; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
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A case study: the revisions and forecasts of Euro Area quarterly GDP
D'Elia, Enrico - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931
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Mutual influence of exchange assets: analysis and estimation
Kozmenko, Serhiy; Plastun, Oleksiy - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
This paper examines the dynamic of prices for different exchange assets in relation to the dynamics of other exchange instruments. The analysis shows that in certain periods there exists a strong connection between the exchange assets(direct or indirect) but it is rather unstable. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260013
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Challenges for Romania’s employment policy in the Real Economy
Marinela, Simuţ Ramona; Lavinia, Delcea - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
the employment policy promoted by the Romanian government and ends with a forecast of the unemployment rate for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260285
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Economic scenario of United States of America before and after 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Sinha, Pankaj; Singhal, Anushree; Sondhi, Kriti - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
Deficit/ Surplus, Unemployment Rate, Inflation and others. We forecast the macroeconomic variables post 2012 using ARIMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260661
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Modelling Time Series Count Data: An Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Model
Heinen, Andreas - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2003
This paper introduces and evaluates new models for time series count data. The Autoregressive Conditional Poisson model (ACP) makes it possible to deal with issues of discreteness, overdispersion (variance greater than the mean) and serial correlation. A fully parametric approach is taken and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260271
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Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates.
Osman, Mohammad; Jean Louis, Rosmy; Balli, Faruk - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
Output gap is generally used in assessing both the inflationary pressures and the cyclical position of a nation’s economy. However, this variable is not observable and must be estimated. In this paper, we accomplish two tasks. First, we estimate the output gap for the United Arab Emirates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322891
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Predictions vs preliminary sample estimates
D'Elia, Enrico - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
In general, rational economic agents are not in the position to wait for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, and have to make use of some model based predictions, even when agents are not assumedly forward looking. Thus, from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422028
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Aggiornamento del modello al 1974 e nuove simulazioni
Bianchi, Carlo; Calzolari, Giorgio; Corsi, Paolo; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1974
A well known macroeconometric model of the Italian economy is updated to produce forecasts at 1974.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595619
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Determination of Money Supply in India: The Great Debate
Das, Rituparna - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
rise to a number of research papers where mostly regression techniques were used to estimate and forecast money supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595621