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In this study we investigate using the mean reversion processes in financial risk management, as they provide an good description of stock price uctuations and market risks. This paper does not aim at being exhaustive, but gives examples for practically implementable models allowing for stylised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107602
This paper examines the panel data models when the regression coefficients are fixed, random, and mixed, and proposed the different estimators for this model. We used the Mote Carlo simulation for making comparisons between the behavior of several estimation methods, such as Random Coefficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112264
In this paper, control variates are proposed to speed up Monte Carlo simulations to estimate expected error rates in multivariate classification.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560052
The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the process for the volatility is non-negative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists a fast and easily implemented semi-analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008678292
, thus, making them appropriate for models of large dimensions. A comprehensive forecasting exercise involving TVP-VARs of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109841
terms of the forecasting performance of the FCI. Additionally, Bayesian model averaging can improve in specific cases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111484
individual operational units. This study introduces a stochastic, multi-stage, optimization technique for short-term forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259245
We analyse the multihorizon forecasting performance of several strategies to estimate the stationary AR(1) model in a … driftless random walk (RW). In addition, we explore the forecasting performance of pairwise combinations between these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195671
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
In the first part of the paper an overview of the long-term global economic growth forecasts is presented (e.g., forecasts of Uri Dadush and Bennett Stancil of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a report by HSBC, CitiGroup report, reports of PricewaterhouseCoopers, or Goldman Sachs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226834