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G3 Recent pronouncements as financial crisis management solution for the activity have put into question the orthodox monetarist in implementing monetary policy. In this sense, the Central Bank could be a victim of its own success by the paradox of credibility. The theory of divine coincidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259394
We study discretionary equilibria in dynamic linear-quadratic rational expectations models. In contrast to the assumptions that pervade this literature we show that these models do have multiple equilibria in some situations. We demonstrate the existence of multiple discretionary equilibria by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543792
Using the most important criteria that should be taken into account when a monetary policy strategy is changed, this paper assess the opportunity of changing the status quo of the monetary policy in Romania with the inflation targeting monetary policy framework in 2005. The paper identifies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621353
This paper analyzes empirically the impact of fiscal policy on the price level for Germany and Spain. We investigate, whether the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) is able to deliver a reasonable explanation for the different evolutions of the price levels in these two countries during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621643
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force growth rate has been recently found for the USA. It accurately describes the period after the late 1950s with linear coefficient 4.0, intercept -0.03, and the lag of 2 years. The previously reported agreement between observed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835571
In this paper, it is tried to test the main assumptions of the Quantity Theory of Money for the Turkish economy. Using some contemporaneous estimation techniques to examine the long-run stationary economic relationships on which the quantity theory is constructed, it is found that stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008529302
The paper probed the impact of supply of money on food and general price indices by estimating a series of equations taking CPI food, CPI general, WPI food, WPI general, GDP deflator and SPI as measures of inflation and M1, M2 and M3 supply of money as explanatory variables. For analysis, OLS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005029702
The Lucas critique has exposed the problem of the trade-off between changes in monetary policy and structural breaks in economic time series. The search for and characterisation of such breaks has been a major econometric task ever since. We have developed an integral technique similar to CUSUM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927057
This paper examines the role of expectations in explaining the dynamics of inflation, interest rates and other key financial variables in Indonesia using VAR and error correction analyses. It is found that deposit interest rates, exchange rates and oil prices have significant impact on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776853
This study has questioned the use of single-equation estimates so common in the analysis of the Phillips curve relation. The analysis in Section II and the empirical results in both Sections III and IV suggest that further research on the Phillips curve relation should consider the merits of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109000