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For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
impact of inflation on stock market returns and volatility using monthly time series data from two West African countries … case holds for Ghana. Furthermore, inflation rate and its three month average were found to have significant effect on … stock market volatility in the two countries. Measures employed towards restraining inflation in the two countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643216
This study examines the impact of inflation and output growth on stock market returns and volatility in selected Asian … (1, 1) model, it is found that macroeconomic volatility, which is measured by movement in inflation and output growth …, have a weak predictive power for stock market returns and volatility in these countries. The movements of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789390
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
Joining the European Union big opportunities in the international markets have opened for Latvia. Paper purpose is to investigate influence of international integration processes on development of economy of Latvia. In the paper Latvian economic indicators before and after entering the EU are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216353
The study critically analyzed the dynamic and simultaneous inter-relationship between inflation and its determinants in … root test and the result reveals that inflation rate, growth rate of real output and money supply, and real share of Fiscal … inflation and its determinants were examined usig the Augmented Engle-Granger (AEG) cointegration test and Error Correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009397167
Joining the European Union big opportunities in the international markets have opened for Latvia. Paper purpose is to investigate influence of international integration processes on development of economy of Latvia. Latvia's incoming in EU increased the amount of received means from structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367975
inflation, the general price level index is the lever for periodic adjustments of the short-term interest rate. Nevertheless …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789682