Showing 1 - 10 of 212
This work examines the implications of advances in time series analysis on car ownership modeling in Greece. Variables include adults population ratio, GDP per capita, car occupancy, bus kilometers, inflation and unemployment. We developed and compared (a) a classical regression model estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109749
forecasting methods. The present paper critically evaluates the electricity demand forecasting methodology and proposes a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005626875
The long run relationship between current account balance (CAB) and capital account balance (KAB) and the repercussions of capital account convertibility (KAC) on growth process of a country is a much debated issue. In particular, in the aftermath of the Southeast Asian crisis, the limitation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014194754
This paper investigates the time-varying correlation between the EU12-wide business cycle and the initial EU12 member-countries based on Scalar-BEKK and multivariate Riskmetrics model frameworks for the period 1980-2012. The paper provides evidence that changes in the business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910120
aggregation. An application to daily excess returns on sectorial indices from the U.K. stock market provides a strong evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258285
and some are only quarterly. Practitioners invariably align variables to the same frequency either by aggregation or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369606
Three new approaches are proposed to handle mixed frequency Vector Autoregression. The first is an explicit solution to the likelihood and posterior distribution. The second is a parsimonious, time-invariant and invertible state space form. The third is a parallel Gibbs sampler without forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113864
This paper compares the different dynamics of simple sum monetary aggregates and the Divisia indexes over time, over the business cycle, and across high and low inflation and interest rate phases. Although the traditional comparison of the series may suggest that they share similar dynamics,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836240
This paper compares the different dynamics of the simple sum monetary aggregates and the Divisia monetary aggregate indexes over time, over the business cycle, and across high and low inflation and interest rate phases. Although traditional comparisons of the series sometimes suggest that simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836526
misunderstanding after another. The bad data produced by simple sum aggregation have contaminated research in monetary economics, have … aggregation theory, now exist, the usual official central bank data are not based on that better approach. While aggregation … throughout the world, the only central banks that currently make aggregation-theoretic monetary aggregates available to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836728