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The present study applies purpose-built dynamic computable general equilibrium models for Ghana and Kenya with a disaggregated country-specific representation of the power sector to simulate the prospective medium-run growth and distributional implications associated with a shift towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894601
Exploring the short-run and long-run relationships between consumption of various sources of non-renewable energy, economic growth and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions would be considered as a golden key to provide rational energy policies of Iran in the post sanctions era. The aim of this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992709
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
for their four roles: description and object of analysis, tool for analysis and forecasting, tool for communication and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835393
finance; for such tasks as pattern reorganization, and time series forecasting, have dramatically increased. Many central … banks use forecasting models based on ANN methodology for predicting various macroeconomic indicators, like inflation, GDP … Growth and currency in circulation etc. In this paper, we have attempted to forecast monthly YoY inflation for Pakistan by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835473
the most significative sectores of modern economies. Because of that is so interesting to forecast some possible changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835521
A new multivariate random walk model with slowly changing parameters is introduced and investigated in detail. Nonparametric estimation of local covariance matrix is proposed. The asymptotic distributions, including asymptotic biases, variances and covariances of the proposed estimators are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835868
forecasting models, from ones classified as “medium-term” to those covering longer forecasting periods. Based on the analysis of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835931
deflator, it provides a root mean square forecasting error (RMFSE) of 1.0% at a four-year horizon for the period between 1971 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
forecast movements in occupancy patterns, rental rates and construction activity. The model presented is a three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835988