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This study estimated an error correction model of the impact of real effective exchange rate volatility on the performance of non-traditional exports for Zambia between 1965 and 1999. Using a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) measure of real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009004209
During the 2007-2009 financial crisis the foreign exchange market was characterized by large volatility and wide currency swings. In this paper we evaluate whether during the period of the Great Recession there has been a structural break in the relationship between fundamentals and exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647428
We find an example where real exchange rate (RER) is stationary and the nominal exchange rate and the price levels are cointegrated but purchasing power parity (PPP) does not hold, which reveals a fault of the unit root and cointegration tests in this use. We argue that the distribution of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107456
This paper addresses the question of why the price of nontradables relative to tradables is positively correlated with … themselves by choosing to become a worker, a manager in nontradables, or a manager in tradables. A fixed cost of exporting places … nontradables, due to the presence of larger fixed costs in poor countries combined with nontrivial import costs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805474
Purpose: This purpose of this study is to examine the asymmetric adjustment effects for the purchasing power parity (PPP) for South Africa against her main currency trading partners; namely, the US, the UK, the Euro area, China and Japan. Design/Methodology/Approach: This study presents a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114417
This paper reexamines the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in an open economy macroeconomic model with Cournot competition in the international trade of a unique good. Foreign and domestic firms have a Cournot perception of foreign and domestic markets and make separate quantity decisions for each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789757
The launch of the euro has fed doubts concerning the constitution of an optimal European monetary zone. Indeed, the differences in legal, institutional and cultural frameworks… as well as the diversity of the productive and financial European systems may have led to the idea that Europe does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258339
Two alternative learning approaches of a MLP Neural Network architecture are employed to forecast foreign currencies against the Greek Drachma, a Back-Propagation with a hyperbolic tangent activation scheme and an evolutionary trained model. Four major currency data series, namely the U. S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108707
This paper examines the exchange rate disconnect puzzle of Obstfeld and Rogoff, (2000) from a behavioural perspective. It provides evidence on the existence of substantial asymmetries in the underlying loss preferences for the difference between the spot and forward nominal exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113109
The forecast performance of the empirical ESTAR model of Taylor, Peel and Sarno (2001) is examined for 4 bilateral real exchange rate series over an out-of-sample evaluation period of nearly 12 years. Point as well as density forecasts are constructed, considering forecast horizons of 1 to 22...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113585