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Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
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The impact of the global economic crisis on non-oil operations of ports in Iran
Ahmadzadeh Mashinchi, Sina - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
It is generally accepted that the recent economic crisis of 2007-2010 has caused widespread economic recession in different countries. Since the ports and coastal regions are of great importance to economic infrastructure, this study examined the possible impact resulting from such a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108429
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Obsolescence Of The 30-Year Mortgage
Gulino, Salvatore - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
This paper examines the relationship between the microeconomics of real-estate and the negative impact of the innate flaws of the 30 year mortgage as it relates to elevated Housing Cost To Income Ratio averages (HCTI). The average borrowers housing expense has risen to approximately 50% of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112704
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Econometric research with panel data: History, models and uses in Mexico
Ruiz-Porras, Antonio - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
of the models in certain areas of knowledge (social sciences, economics, international economics, finance, public finance … development of panel-data models from the nineteenth century to the beginning of the twenty-first one. In the second part, we … describe the models with fixed, random and dynamic effects. In the subsequent parts we describe some trends in the econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109403
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The common error of common sense: an essential rectification of the accounting approach
Kakarot-Handtke, Egmont - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
The present paper takes the explanatory superiority of the integrated monetary approach for granted. It will be demonstrated that the accounting approach could do even better provided it frees itself from theoretically ill-founded notions like GDP and other artifacts of the equilibrium approach....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258616
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中国产出缺口的估计(1985-2009)及两种评估方法的比较
Liu, Fei - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
In this paper, we used the production function method and the Van Norden method to estimate China's output gap (and potential output) from 1985 to 2009 year,and comparise the two methods. The results showed that: (1) the results of different methods are basically consistent with our economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258741
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Romania, Poland. Two Countries, One Wish: Joining the Eurozone
Soproni, Luminita; Marcut, Mirela - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
The paper aims to present the efforts of the two Member States of the European Union regarding the criteria for accession in the „select club” of the Eurozone, in the current economic environment, which is characterized by uncertainty and profound turbulences. The study has pointed out that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258985
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The myth of the “cashless society”: How much of America’s currency is overseas?
Feige, Edgar L. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
The rapid growth of substitutes for cash, particularly debit and credit cards, has led economists to predict the advent of the “cashless society”. Yet cash holdings in most developed economies continue to grow and in the U.S., per capita currency holdings now amount to $3000. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259369
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Accounting and the Macroeconomy: The Case of Aggregate Price-Level Effects on Individual Stocks
Konchitchki, Yaniv - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
This study sheds new light on the cross-sectional effects of inflation, which have substantial implications for stock valuation. I use financial statement analysis to examine systematic stock-valuation effects of aggregate price-level changes on individual companies, focusing on the implications...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259622
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Investigating the effect of granted facilities by specialist banks to agriculture part on value added agriculture part of Iran
Lotfi, Habib; Ahmadzadeh Mashinchi, Sina - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
Iran’s agriculture part is one of the areas that can have an important effect on the growth of country’s economy. Concerning this, variables that can increase value added agriculture have been concentrated on and the government is supporting them. One of these policies is granting loanable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259794