Showing 1 - 10 of 42
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
This paper integrates data envelopment analysis (DEA) and artificial neural networks (ANN) to forecast the role of … method to forecast this role. DEA method allows us to develop a neutral evaluation, unbiased a priori by any type of criteria … forecast economic growth by using input data taken at frontier. At the end of the DEA-ANN chain, prediction-power tests appear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009328132
Growth and currency in circulation etc. In this paper, we have attempted to forecast monthly YoY inflation for Pakistan by … using ANN for FY08 on the basis of monthly data of July 1993 to June 2007. We also compare the forecast performance of the … criterion forecast based on ANN are more precise. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835473
Growth and currency in circulation etc. In this paper, we have attempted to forecast monthly YoY inflation for Pakistan by … using ANN for FY08 on the basis of monthly data of July 1993 to June 2007. We also compare the forecast performance of the … criterion forecast based on ANN are more precise. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112612
This paper is aimed at developing a new kind of non-parametrical artificial neural network useful to forecast exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113518
In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931
This paper examines the dynamic of prices for different exchange assets in relation to the dynamics of other exchange instruments. The analysis shows that in certain periods there exists a strong connection between the exchange assets(direct or indirect) but it is rather unstable. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260013
the employment policy promoted by the Romanian government and ends with a forecast of the unemployment rate for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260285
Deficit/ Surplus, Unemployment Rate, Inflation and others. We forecast the macroeconomic variables post 2012 using ARIMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260661
This paper introduces and evaluates new models for time series count data. The Autoregressive Conditional Poisson model (ACP) makes it possible to deal with issues of discreteness, overdispersion (variance greater than the mean) and serial correlation. A fully parametric approach is taken and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260271