Many macroeconomic forecasts and forecast updates like those from IMF and OECD typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast...

The paper focuses on the issue of regional resilience against the recent financial and economic crisis in the case of Romania, taking the county as territorial unit of observation. Based on the idea that the shock of a crisis impact spreads asymmetrically in the territory, with different...

This paper explores the influence of the foreign exchange rates variation on the returns and volatility of the stock prices from the Romanian capital market for the period of time January 2000 - December 2012. This period was split in four sub-samples corresponding to different stages of the...

During the last decades, the monetary policy had to face significant changes caused by various processes. This paper explores the challenges induced by the recent global crisis to the central banks policies. We approach some possible solutions to the dramatic consequences of the crisis: the...

The interrelation research-development-innovation has proved crucial for raising the economic competitiveness. The comparative analysis of Romania’competitiveness in the global and European context highlights significant gaps as compared with advanced countries, mainly in R&D intensity,...

This paper explores the changes in the daily seasonality of the Romanian foreign market from January 2005 to February 2010. Our investigation employs data from the prices in the Romanian national currency, of the two main currencies used in the financial transactions: euro and US dollar. For the...

Under the circumstances of the global crisis effects on risk appetite of international investors, the net FDI flows in Romania registered a sharp fall in post-crisis period to levels of 1/5 as compared to 2008. Even if the current account deficits of Romania have significantly decreased in the...

The systematic risk is considered as one of the most important factors that influence the investment in financial assets. Usually, it is evaluated in the framework of the Capital Asset Price Model. The systematic risk associated to firm equities is affected by some firm’s characteristics,...

Global financial crisis, arising from real estate and finance sectors, has caused extra ordinary costs for the world economy. Problems in the public management model of the US finance and real estate sectors would be accepted as one of the important reasons of the financial failures in the US...

Very often the crisis induces changes in the linkages between the financial variables. This paper explores, through a Vector Autoregression model and Granger Causality tests, the impact of the global crisis on the relation between the Romanian stock prices and the interest rates. We found this...