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, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them …, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to … macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16 sentiment surveys of distinct respondent universes and employ the technique of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …-time measures of inflation expectations. These higher frequency measures tend to outperform the standard three low frequency survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
In this paper, the relevance of national accounts statistics and their underlying conceptual framework is investigated … for their four roles: description and object of analysis, tool for analysis and forecasting, tool for communication and … national accounts statistics are described and discussed. Proper use should be stimulated by improving education and marketing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835393
well as the farmers’welfare. In this paper, we take up time series modelling and forecasting of the Sarawak black pepper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619901
This paper investigates the behaviour of weekly hardware sales in the Japanese video game sector. It is found that weekly hardware sales exhibit significant linear and non-linear behaviours during the product cycle. We are going to analyse the implications of our findings for management control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567952
The article is stressed on the stability indicator of the banking system as binary variable, which takes a single value in unstable condition and non-zero value otherwise. It is offered to explore stability dynamics of Ukrainian banking system as time series, suggested to perform stability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107869
One can compare Econometrics with an Art which tries to minimize the lag between a quantitative law and a sample of data. Hence, the econometrics teaches us that before to built models, we must built data bank through strict procedures to prevent errors. Our paper presents classical methods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112911
This paper attempts to present a viable approach for the design of an instrument of government finance (and monetary management) in an Islamic economy where conventional transactions based on an ex-ante promise of a risk-free rate of return are forbidden. Resources to finance government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110783
reform. The present analysis is based on the results of an empirical survey that took place during 2009. For the purposes of … this survey, a structured questionnaire was prepared and sent to the Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) of 132 Greek public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001166