Showing 1 - 10 of 1,734
In this paper, the preceding / causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty have been tried to be … inflationary shocks are associated with statistically significant and quantitatively larger levels of inflation uncertainty than … are negative shocks. Our estimation results indicate that inflation in fact leads to inflation uncertainty in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147699
This paper aims to investigate the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Turkish economy by … using contemporaneous Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) estimation methodology. Our findings indicate that inflation leads to … inflation uncertainty, and dealing with the information content of this relationship, the conditional variance of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559027
data from 1996-97Q1 to 2011-12Q4. It finds that both the shocks impact real output growth and inflation in the short …. An unanticipated hike/reduction in policy rate leads to a symmetric decline/rise in inflation. An unanticipated change in … money supply leads to higher inflation, but a similar decrease in it has no significant impact on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259315
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
This paper examines the extent to which changes in exchange rates result in changes in Turkish domestic inflation … that exchange rate shocks feed into domestic inflation, first at the level of manufacturers’ prices and then at the level … manufacturer price index in determining Turkish inflation rates. In addition, the decline in the exchange rate pass-through impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497664
In this paper we estimate a structural VAR model to identify the causes of inflation in Ecuador. To examine the VAR … exogenous variable on the inflation rate but also to estimate the inflation rate from the exogenous variables in the model. We … found that on the first quarter of 2008 the annual inflation rate in Ecuador was mainly caused by international prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059103
to their increase, an unanticipated hike in policy rate has no impact on them. The impact on inflation is also symmetric … neutral to components of aggregate demand and, thus, on inflation, ranging from 6.25 per cent to 7.0 per cent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107770
asymmetric effects on inflation in Costa Rica during the period 1991-2009. Three basic questions are tried to be answered: Is … the relative size of the impact on inflation of a given shock on the exchange rate? Among many variables, it is found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111779
In this study, the causal relationships between inflation, output growth and uncertainty have been re-examined for the … period with monthly data, the mutual Granger causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty cannot be rejected in a … lower the output growth uncertainty. Some evidence have also been obtained in favor of that an increase in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458504
This paper delves into the asymmetries of the exchange rate pass-through on prices in the case of Venezuela, extending the analysis of Mendoza (2004) the prices of goods and services. The data used is monthly for the period 07/90 -12/04. We find that pass-through in services is less than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992875