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Some Policy Issues Regarding an Early Warning System
Reinhart, Carmen; Goldstein, Morris; Kaminsky, Graciela - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2000
In focusing on the 24 month window prior to the onset of the crisis, the criteria for ranking the indicators presented in our related work does not distinguish between a signal given 12 months prior to the crisis and one given one month prior to the crisis. In what follows we examine this issue,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531924
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MODELLING THE WORLD EXCHANGE RATES:DYNAMICS, VOLATILITY AND FORECASTING
Nwaobi, Godwin - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
monthly to daily observations on exchange rates. Thus the basic thrust of the paper is to analyse the forecasting accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619306
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Exchange Rate Determination and Forecasting: Can the Microstructure Approach Rescue Us from the Exchange Rate Disparity?
Zhang, Guangfeng; Zhang, Qiong; Majeed, Muhammad Tariq - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
Using two measures of private information and high-frequency transaction data from the leading interdealer electronic broking system Reuters D2000-2, we examine the association between exchange rate return and contemporaneous order flow and the predictability power of lagged order flow on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114525
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Taylor Rules and the Euro.
Tanya, Molodtsova; Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex; Papell, David - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
the forecasting regression. We also present less formal evidence that, with real-time data, the Taylor rule provides a … specifications that do not include the real exchange rate in the forecasting regression, the results are robust to whether or not the … the forecasting regression. Bad news about inflation and good news about real economic activity both lead to out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789851
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¿Es la dolarización oficial una opción real para las economías emergentes?
Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2005
This paper analyzes the costs and benefits for an emerging economy to formally adopt dollarization. The magnitude of the costs and benefits involved in this process will not be the same for all countries and depend on the particular characteristics of each economy as well as its relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261096
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The single global currency - common cents for the world (2008 Edition)
Bonpasse, Morrison - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
Abstract This is the 2008 Edition of one of only two book in print in the world about the Single Global Currency, and is the only book in the world priced in 141 currencies (down from 147 in the 2006 edition.).This number is significant, as it's the number of currencies required among the 192...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835646
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The Single Global Currency - Common Cents for the World (2007 Edition)
Bonpasse, Morrison - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
This is the 2007 Edition of the only book in print in the world about the Single Global Currency, and is the only book in the world priced in 143 currencies (down from 147 in the 2006 edition.).This number is significant, as it's the number of currencies required among the 192 U.N. members to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621973
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The Single Global Currency: Common Cents for the World
Bonpasse, Morrison - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
This is the only book in print in the world about the single global currency, and is the only book in the world priced in 147 currencies. It describes the origins of the current worldwide foreign exchange system, and tells how to change it; and save the world - trillions. The multicurrency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787163
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The proposed eco: should West Africa proceed with a common currency?
Chuku, Chuku - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
This paper investigates the rationality of proceeding with a common currency in West Africa by testing for symmetry and speed of adjustment to four underlying structural shocks among a pair of 66 ECOWAS economies. The findings reveal that there is relatively high degree of symmetry in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110348
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A comparative assessment of aggregate car ownership model estimation methodologies
Sambracos, Evangelos; Paravantis, John - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
This work examines the implications of advances in time series analysis on car ownership modeling in Greece. Variables include adults population ratio, GDP per capita, car occupancy, bus kilometers, inflation and unemployment. We developed and compared (a) a classical regression model estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109749