Showing 1 - 10 of 168
We evaluate the prediction accuracy of models designed using different classification methods depending on the technique used to select variables, and we study the relationship between the structure of the models and their ability to correctly predict financial failure. We show that a neural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114285
Since 1968, after the development of multivariate model, financial health of the corporate sector to predict their financial failure is heavily studied. Altman Z-Score is the most efficient model to judge the financial failure of the companies. This study uses Altman’s Z-Score and current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109770
Data processes run by states, governments and the like have been a great deal and as old as the modern human history. Data had always been important. Tons were collected and siloed, but never in the past had its importance been felt as much as it had been when the last crisis broke out in 2008....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114142
Over the last four decades, bankruptcy prediction has given rise to an extensive body of literature, the aim of which was to assess the conditions under which forecasting models perform effectively. Of all the parameters that may influence model accuracy, one has rarely been discussed: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107955
Of the methods used to build bankruptcy prediction models in the last twenty years, neural networks are among the most challenging. Despite the characteristics of neural networks, most of the research done until now has not taken them into consideration for building financial failure models, nor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110766
This paper is a critical review of the variable selection methods used to build empirical bankruptcy prediction models. Recent decades have seen many papers on modeling techniques, but very few about the variable selection methods that should be used jointly or about their fit. This issue is of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110970
Recent financial crises and especially large corporate bankruptcies, have led bank managements and financial authorities to follow and monitor both financial and real sector risks, and to focus on firm failures. Bank of International Settlements, has therefore, taken the decision to include the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111559
This study examines a method of analyzing the dynamics of financial failure. Using a large amount of data and a Kohonen map, we show how to depict company trajectories of behavior and movement to terminal failure We also show how to analyze these trajectories to describe and understand the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112059
Financial failures observed during global financial crisis have again underlined the importance of effective risk management. In this article, the author analyzes the best instrument, namely self discipline, official discipline and market discipline, for the effective risk management. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260546
Abstract One of the impacts of financial liberalisation/deregulation to the risk management and regulation mechanisms is self regulation. In the context of self regulation, it is expected that financial intermediaries may internally develop risk management rules, define capital level based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372609