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We quantify the effects of monetary policy transparency and credibility on macroeconomic volatility in an estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620140
This paper surveys evidence on fiscal multipliers from the Euro area and the United States obtained by direct, cross-state or economywide measures of the effects of broad-based tax cuts and increases in government purchases. In view of the evidence in the literature I conclude that that fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107362
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
We analyze, in this paper, DSNK general equilibrium model with indivisible labor where firms may belong to two different final goods producing sectors: one where wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets and the orther where wages and employment are the result of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616873
The U.S. housing market crash in 2007-2008 was not caused overnight by an over-supply of new homes that could not be sold. It was caused by the new money flows into mortgages ever since 1998. What changed in 1998 was that mortgage funds were not only used for building new homes at a price in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163523
The dynamic general equilibrium model with hiring costs presented in this paper delivers involuntary unemployment in the steady state and involuntary fluctuations in unemploy- ment. After calibrating the model, through simulations we are able to show that our model with labour market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623410
In this paper we analyze a general equilibrium DSNK model characterized by labor indivisibilities, unemployment and a unionized labor market. The presence of monopoly unions introduces real wage rigidities in the model. We show that as in Blanchard Galì (2005) the so called "divine coincidence"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623499
Keynes’ original intention in introducing the concept of a liquidity trap was to explain the reason why persistent large amounts of unutilized resources were generated during the Great Depression. This paper shows that this type of phenomenon cannot be explained in the framework of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258943
In late 2008 and early 2009, there has been a serious deterioration in the economic outlook of political leaders, the media and many economic analysts. Comparisons of recent performance and the outlook have degenerated into comparisons with the Great Depression of the 1930s, suggesting that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837522
A business cycle is, in fact, fluctuations of macroeconomic variables and gross domestic product. These fluctuations play a substantial role in any country. Prosperity and depression have been the most impressive problem in Iranian economy during the last decades so government and politicians...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114085