The methodology and uses of Monte-Carlo simulation technique are presented as applied to the analysis and assessment of risk in the evaluation of investment projects. The importance of risk analysis in investment appraisal is highlighted and the stages in the process introduced. The results...

The paper highlights the need for a methodological framework on which to base projections in project appraisal applications. Following an initial definition and sizing of the relevant market of the project, the market is analysed in terms of which are the main customer groups, what their needs...