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Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States as a function of inflation and the change in labor … force. Originally, the model linking unemployment to inflation and labor force was developed and successfully tested for …. Nevertheless, the model explains between ~65% and ~95% of the variability in unemployment and inflation. For Italy, the rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837146
reciprocal relationship. The variable considered are: unemployment, inflation, consumptions, investments and current accounts. We … consumption, imports and corrent account, i) we show why a stable and growing inflation differential is not sustainable, but argue … that internal devalution is not an effective policy, pushing inflation rates to a worrisome lower level and even outright …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261122
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
The dynamic general equilibrium model with hiring costs presented in this paper delivers involuntary unemployment in the steady state and involuntary fluctuations in unemploy- ment. After calibrating the model, through simulations we are able to show that our model with labour market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623410
The global downturn is now strongly affecting EU labour markets. In light of the downward revision to the growth projections and the uncertainty created by the financial meltdown, the outlook for employment has deteriorated considerably. This would also be consistent with the experience from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642701
This paper studies the effect mandated severance pay in a matching model featuring wage rigidity for ongoing, but not new, matches and Pareto efficient spot renegotiation of mandated severance pay. Severance pay matters only if real wage rigidities imply inefficient separation under employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110179
The conventional search and matching model has been criticized for its inability to explain large cyclical volatility in the vacancy-unemployment ratio without ad hoc assumptions of wage rigidity. This paper presents a mechanism of such volatility without assuming wage rigidity by showing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228915
The effects of firing costs crucially depend on the extend to which the additional costs can be shifted to the worker, which refers to the so called "bonding critique". In the recent literature about firing costs, these costs are assumed to be a wasteful tax, such that they can not be shifted to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008490474
This paper examines a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model containing exible prices, search frictions and nominal wage contracts. It is assumed that the nominal hourly wage rate and the hours of work are jointly determined, so-called efficient bargaining, for each period. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147714