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I develop a structural model of inflation by combining two different models of price setting behavior: the sticky price … resultant SP/SI Phillips curve models inflation better than either the sticky price or sticky information models. The results … are robust to alternative sub-samples and estimation methods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789618
This paper investigates the time-varying correlation between the EU12-wide business cycle and the initial EU12 member-countries based on Scalar-BEKK and multivariate Riskmetrics model frameworks for the period 1980-2012. The paper provides evidence that changes in the business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910120
framework for estimation and model comparison. For instance, we estimate a stochastic volatility model with leverage effect and … one with Student-t distributed errors. We also model time series characteristics of US inflation rate by considering a … heteroskedastic ARFIMA model where heteroskedasticity is specified by means of a Gaussian stochastic volatility process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107873
This paper develops methods for automatic selection of variables in forecasting Bayesian vector autoregressions (VARs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008593003
regarding inflation and output dynamics. This paper examines and compares dynamic responses of the sticky price and sticky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621721
This paper is an eclectic study of the uses of the Kalman filter in existing econometric literature. An effort is made to introduce the various extensions to the linear filter first developed by Kalman(1960) through examples of their uses in economics. The basic filter is first derived and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506113
(ARIMA) time series models for forecasting Irish inflation. A framework for ARIMA forecasting is drawn up. It considers two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837105
The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the … process for the volatility is non-negative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008678292
The concept of NAIRU summarized the observed negative correlation between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112751
The evolution of the rate of price inflation, (t), and unemployment, u(t), in Japan has been modeled within the … that growing unemployment results in decreasing inflation. A linear and lagged generalized Phillips curve expressed as a … link between inflation, unemployment, and labor force has been also re-estimated and validated by new data. Labor force …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260989