Chen, Nan-Kuang; Chen, Shiu-Sheng; Chou, Yu-Hsi - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
In this paper, we revisit bear market predictability by employing a number of variables widely used in forecasting stock returns. In particular, we focus on variables related to the presence of imperfect credit markets. We evaluate prediction performance using in-sample and out-of-sample tests....