Showing 1 - 10 of 56
decision trees is evaluated using two publicly available credit card application datasets. The prediction accuracy of boosted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836425
This paper presents evidence that accounting (or flow-of-fund) macroeconomic models helped anticipate the credit crisis and economic recession. Equilibrium models ubiquitous in mainstream policy and research did not. This study identifies core differences, traces their intellectual pedigrees,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267876
the accuracy of the COP price prediction a series of advanced models is developed. The original set of two major CPIs is …-linear trend in the CPI difference is also revisited. This trend allows for an accurate prediction of the COP prices at a five to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259247
This set of three volumes argues that the mind – human consciousness – may be measured by considering mathematically the aggregate of that consciousness, i.e. social history. From this beginning theme of discussion three questions must arise. 1. How might this measurement be made? 2. Of what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259509
I argue that a form of consciousness may be found in American economic history, one which is both mathematically demonstrable and important. In this book I present a model of economic and political growth based upon systematic addition. We begin with a philosophic model of trade (pp. 34-46);...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259667
This paper examines the dynamic of prices for different exchange assets in relation to the dynamics of other exchange instruments. The analysis shows that in certain periods there exists a strong connection between the exchange assets(direct or indirect) but it is rather unstable. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260013
In sum, in these essays I explore the self-similarity between levels, the fractal structure of reality, through an investigation of an inherent and unavoidable uncertainty which is unique to each level. These essays will demonstrate that as each level struggles to resolve its own inherent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260442
This volume – Predicting Crisis: Five Essays on the Mathematic Prediction of Economic and Social Crises – is the first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260672
Labor productivity in Turkey, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and New Zealand has been analyzed and modeled. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the link between the rate of labor participation and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014716
Historical share prices of selected S&P 500 companies have been accurately approximated by linear functions of the difference between core CPI and subsets of the CPI in the United States. The pricing model describes the evolution of share price along a predetermined trajectory. The selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005020482