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Output gap is generally used in assessing both the inflationary pressures and the cyclical position of a nation’s economy. However, this variable is not observable and must be estimated. In this paper, we accomplish two tasks. First, we estimate the output gap for the United Arab Emirates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322891
The study examines the day of the week effect on the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index of Bursa Malaysia using the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005617109
This study tests the determinants of capital structure for the firms listed in the Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621815
A number of highly cited papers by Flyvbjerg and associates have shown that ex ante infrastructure appraisals tend to be overly optimistic. Ex post evaluations indicate a bias where investment costs are higher and benefits lower on average than predicted ex ante. These authors argue that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258650
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
statistical tool to evaluate and compare the predictive abilities of possibly misspecified density forecast models. The main … compare the performance of a density forecast models in the tails. Use of KLIC is practically attractive as well as convenient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789224
compare the predictive abilities of possibly misspecified density forecast models. The main advantage of this statistical tool … density forecast models in the tails. We include an illustrative simulation and an empirical application to compare a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789386
Pepper is an important agriculture commodity especially for the state of Sarawak. It is important to forecast its price … fitted models, ARMA (1, 0) model is selected based on post-sample forecast criteria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619901
reaction to public announcement of quarterly after tax profit by listed firms. By employing 5 year data on stock prices from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021699
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648