Showing 1 - 10 of 1,589
There has been a well-known relationship between macro financial fundamentals and oil prices, yet there is also ample evidence that this relationship weakens during some periods. In this paper, we investigated whether the relationship between oil and macro financial fundamentals vary depending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112687
Markov switching (MS) process to the vector auto regression (VAR) estimation of macro financial variables. The switching … between the states of the Markov process is linked to the volatility of gold and the macro financial variables to understand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113797
Market inefficiency has influence on resource allocation, as price signals tend systematically understate or overstate the effects of information transmitted to the trading parties in the market. In this paper a number of statistical tests employed to assess the weak-form efficiency of Khartoum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005105676
intraday volatility measurements and implied ones obtained from options market (VIX). For that we propose the use of intraday … information to estimate volatility for the cases where the stock markets do not have an associated option market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008683280
-run volatility in the spot market increases; Paudyal et al. (2005). Harris (1989) finds that increased volatility in the spot market …, listed on NSE for the period August 2005 to May 2008. Using Hoadley Options, volatility modeled by GARCH (1, 1) is estimated …. Considering both volume and volatility, mixed evidences are witnessed. Futures introduction has some stabilizing effect on large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561159
We study the behavior and interaction of systematic and idiosyncratic components of risk in a cross-section of U.K. stocks. We find no clear evidence of a trend in any component of total risk, but we document different “regimes” in the behavior of each component of total risk, in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261127
We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non- Gaussian and noninvertible ARMA model. Tests based on a special case of the general model, referred to as an all-pass model, are also obtained. Data generated by an all-pass process are uncorrelated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652927
of modeling with the Johnson distribution are introduced: joint estimation of the volatility and two-step procedure where … estimation of the volatility is separate from the estimation of higher parameters. The procedures were demonstrated on Philippine …Stylized facts on financial time series data are the volatility of returns that follow non-normal conditions such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647299
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
Groenewold et al (2004a) documented that the Chinese stock market is inefficient. In this paper, we revisit the efficiency problem of the Chinese stock market using time-series model based trading rules. Our paper distinguishes itself from previous studies in several aspects. First, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369182