Showing 1 - 10 of 1,907
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
learn, form their expectations, and make decisions regarding savings and production for future periods. There are no … are unexpected by agents, or if future price expectations are not adjusted exactly proportionally to the announced …, as that would require it knowing precisely the actual law of motion of the economy, current market’s expectations, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259238
In a small-scale New-Keynesian model with a hybrid Phillips curve and IS equation, the paper is concerned with an arbitrary frequency of the agents' synchronized decision making. It investigates the validity of a fundamental methodological precept according to which no substantive prediction or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294671
. The benchmark model also considers extremely simple assumptions about expectations (perfect foresight is frequently … assumed). In this paper, one inquires how a change in the way inflation expectations are modelled implies a change in monetary … policy results when an active Taylor rule is taken. By assuming that inflation expectations are constrained by the evolution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837344
In this paper we build an agent-based model based on a threefold financial accelerator: (i) leverage accelerator - negative shocks on firms' output make banks less willing to loan funds, and firms less willing to make investments, hence a credit reduction follows further reducing the output;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253063
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS … spread. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three measures of inflation expectations: the Livingston Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
We quantify the effects of monetary policy transparency and credibility on macroeconomic volatility in an estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620140
Keynes’ original intention in introducing the concept of a liquidity trap was to explain the reason why persistent large amounts of unutilized resources were generated during the Great Depression. This paper shows that this type of phenomenon cannot be explained in the framework of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258943
In this paper we develop a closed economy DSGE model of Pakistan with informality both in the labor and product markets. We try to remain consistent with the micro-foundations of Pakistan’s economy for the purpose of estimation of the model parameters. However a couple of them have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260073
theory and considered the criteria as incomplete, since this theory insists solely on a few elements concerning the … meeting this theory’s criteria. Other economists recommend studying the history of these monetary unions so as to define the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260997