This report presents an application of a macro stress testing procedure on credit risk in the Romanian banking system. Macro stress testing, i.e. assessing the vulnerability of financial systems to exceptional but plausible macroeconomic scenarios, maintains a central role in macro-prudential...

This paper presents Rtadf (Right Tail Augmented Dickey-Fuller), an EViews Add-in that facilitates the performance of time series based tests that help detect and date-stamp asset price bubbles. Detection strategy is based on a right-tail variation of the standard Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)...

Joint dynamics of market index returns, volume traded and volatility of stock market returns can unveil different dimensions of market microstructure. It can be useful for precise volatility estimation and understanding liquidity of the financial market. In this study, the joint dynamics is...

Introduction. The objects of investigation of this work are micro-level behaviors in stock markets. We aim at better understanding which strategies of market participants drive stock markets. The problem is that micro-level data from real stock markets are largely unobservable. We take an...

This paper replicates Cheung and Lai (1995), who use response surface analysis to obtain approximate finite-sample critical values adjusted for lag order and sample size for the augmented Dickey-Fuller test. We obtain results that are quite close to their results. We provide the Ox source code....

This paper explores the sensitivity of plug-in based subset tests to instrument exclusion in linear IV regression. Recently, identification-robust statistics based on plug-in principle have been developed for testing hypotheses specified on subsets of the structural parameters. However, their...

We provide a generalization of the Anderson-Rubin (AR) procedure for inference on parameters which represent the dependence between possibly endogenous explanatory variables and disturbances in a linear structural equation (endogeneity parameters). We focus on second-order dependence and stress...

The objective of this study is to test regional economic inequalities in Jordan. The methodology has been profoundly influenced by the statistical approach of Analyses Of Variance (ANOVA). This approach tests regional variations in consumption on governorates level. The Least Significant...

We investigate the size of the Durbin-Wu-Hausman tests for exogeneity when instrumental variables violate the strict exogeneity assumption. We show that these tests are severely size distorted even for a small correlation between the structural error and instruments. We then propose a bootstrap...

This study explores the volatility models and evaluates the quality of one-step ahead forecasts of volatility constructed by (1) GARCH, (2) TGARCH, (3) Risk metrics and (4) Historical volatility. Volatility forecasts suggest that TGARCH performs relatively best in term of MSPE, followed by...