The effect of options’ introduction on underlying market is one of the frequently debated themes in financial research. A significant body of literature addresses the question of effects of options’ introduction. The critical review of the literature shows that there is no consensus among...

In this paper, we aim at forecasting the stochastic volatility of key financial market variables with the Kalman filter using stochastic models developed by Taylor (1986,1994) and Nelson (1990). First, we compare a stochastic volatility model relying on the Kalman filter to the conditional...

Emerging countries experience real exchange rate depreciations around defaults. In this paper, we examine this observed pattern empirically and through the lens of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. The theoretical model explicitly incorporates bond issuances in local and foreign...

The downward trend exhibited in Chile’s nominal term structure since 2003 has been a common pattern shared by other developed and developing economies. To understand the behavior of the nominal yield curve in Chile, we rely on an affine dynamic term structure model (DTMS) which allows to...

This study provides recent empirical evidence on the impact of the federal budget deficit on the nominal long term mortgage interest rate yield in the U.S. The study is couched within a loanable funds model that includes the cost to financial institutions of borrowing funds, expected inflation,...

This study adopts a loanable funds model to investigate the impact of budget deficits in the U.S. on long term real interest rates. The study investigates both ex post real 10 year Treasury note yields and ex post real 20 year Treasury bond yields. The study period runs from 1955 through 1987,...

We present a quantitative study of the markets and models evolution across the credit crunch crisis. In particular, we focus on the fixed income market and we analyze the most relevant empirical evidences regarding the divergences between Libor and OIS rates, the explosion of Basis Swaps...

Our goal in this paper is two-fold. First, we develop a class of term structure models that allow for the role of bounded rationality by incorporating either information-processing constraint or fear for mis-specification into affine term structure models. We indentify a set of sufficient...

Liquidity is one of the most important factors after credit risk that affects the bond yields. The paper uses various measures of liquidity to understand their determinants in Indian sovereign bond market. The Liquidity measured by parameters like Turnover Ratio and Amihud Illiquidity Indicator...

Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same debt-to-GDP ratio. This paper explains this stylized fact within a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework by...