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In this paper we examine the linkages of government bond yield spreads (BYS) between Euro zone countries over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114510
conditional quantiles of the implied default probability distribution. Finally, Fisher’s Z statistic is used to relate bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009132739
In this paper, first, we will take notice of the development of the stock markets in six euro area countries with highest public debt: Greece, Italy, Portugal, Ireland, Belgium, and Spain. Subsequently, a comparison of returns and volatility will be made with the development of selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071619
After the beginning of the euro area, countries in its periphery engaged in weighty borrowing from foreign private investors, allowing domestic spending to outpace incomes. Now, these countries face debt crises reflecting a loss of creditor confidence in the sustainability of their finances from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370831
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
dynamics of the pricing factors, thus providing more accurate estimates of the term premium incorporated into the Eurozone …-à-vis the short rate in contrast with the Expectation Hypothesis. The Euro-area bond market appears to have gone through its own … "Greenspan conundrum".At least three "conundra" episodes can be singled out in the Eurozone between January 1999 and August 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108613
We aim to shed light on the debate among policy-makers trying to find prescriptions that will take troubled economies out of their debt trap. We do this with a highly stylized two-compartment dynamic model consisting of the stocks of money in Government and Society. The dynamics of the system...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110773
There is a long period since the problem of public debt sustainability captures the attention of economists. However, there is no unanimity concerning an adequate unique sustainability indicator or function generally accepted. Just in this line of elaborating new models and improving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005617079
The modern economic theory implemented today is inherently flawed. Unfortunately these flaws are not apparent in contemporary economic theory which is built on the idea that scarcity is an ever present condition; an approach referred to as scarce resource theory (SRT) in operating level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203644
In the case of Romania, a sharp deterioration of the fiscal framework strength has been observed during post-crisis period, the public debt-to-GDP ratio currently reaching around 40%, thus doubling as compared to 2008. The structural analysis of government debt portfolio highlighted the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257864