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one-period probit model used by Cole and Gunther (1998). Using data on U.S. bank failures from 1985 – 1992, we find that …, from an econometric perspective, the hazard model is more accurate than the probit model in predicting bank failures, but … data from the 1980s performs surprisingly well in forecasting bank failures during 2009 – 2010. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615025
In this study, we analyze why U.S. commercial banks failed during the recent financial crisis. We find that proxies for commercial real estate investments, as well as traditional proxies for the CAMELS components, do an excellent job in explaining the failures of banks that were closed during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615045
The present paper reviews the causes that led to the financial crisis. Unlike other interpretations, this paper does not place main significance on a single source or on a set of causes. I consider all major standpoints highlighted by research and media prior, during and after the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294924
Excessive credit growth is often considered to be an indicator of future problems in the financial sector. This paper examines the issue of how best to determine whether the observed level of private sector credit is excessive in the context of the “countercyclical capital buffer”, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259468
Text presented at the 19ª Asamblea Anual del Grupo Regional de América Latina y el Caribe (GRULAC), of the World Savings Banks Institute, La Habana, Cuba, 4-5 November 2013. It mentions some of the more recent international reform initiatives in particular those linked to the Basel Committee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257769
In the light of the recent financial market turmoil, this paper focuses on liquidity risk management from the point of view of both supervisory authorities and large financial institutions. This research aims at pointing out the main differences between national regulations and supervisory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261021
) on bank capital, risk, and performance. We find that high risk weighted asset ratios tend to attract supervisory … intervention. Sanctions whose cause lies at the core of bank safety and soundness curtail the risk-weighted asset ratio, but … weaknesses appear to be well-timed and to restrain further increases in the risk-weighted assets ratio without impairing bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111185
period during which more than 1,300 banks failed. Bank failures are fundamentally important because of the unique role played … during this period. First, commercial real estate was only a factor in the bank failures of 1988-92. Second, construction … loans played a much larger role in bank failures than permanent loans, and the relationship is strongest with construction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615013
offsite monitoring system based on publicly available accounting data. Their findings suggest that, if a bank has not been … off-site systems derives from both their timeliness—an updated off-site rating is available for every bank in every …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615036
It is likely that such a crisis could not be born somewhere else only in the United States. The "current financial disaster" is the fruit of the combination of specific factors in the US, where elements were gathered to catalyse such a crisis, like, someway, some "primal soup" where were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543034