It is well known among practitioners that the seasonal adjustment applied to economic time series could involve several decisions to be made by the econometrician. In this paper, I assess which aggregation strategy delivers the best results for the case of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 quarterly...

The price-demand relationship in the electricity market is a complicated phenomenon. In order to thoroughly investigate the peculiarities of this relationship, a multi-scale correlation analysis of electricity price and demand is carried out in this research. Using a modified method of socalled...

When estimating regional inequality, many economists use inequality indices weighted by the regions' shares in the national population. Although this approach is widespread, its adequacy has not received attention in the regional science literature. This paper proves that such approach is...

Extreme Value Theory is increasingly used in the modelling of financial time series. The non-normality of stock returns leads to the search for alternative distributions that allows skewness and leptokurtic behavior. One of the most used distributions is the Pareto Distribution because it allows...

Taking into account the actual economic situation of the world with numerous financial crisis, the insurance companies should control their financial stability in order to avoid the insolvency or even bankruptcy state. Thus, the insurers should find the adequate methods of substantiating the...

In this paper we test a particular variant of the (Repulsive) Particle Swarm method on some rather difficult global optimization problems. A number of these problems are collected from the extant literature and a few of them are newly introduced. First, we introduce the Particle Swarm method of...

L'objet de ce papier n'est pas tant de présenter les principaux algorithmes utilisés en modélisation économique - nombre de manuels font des présentations de meilleure qualité et plus exhaustives - que d'en proposer une vision critique. Les modèles économiques, et plus particulièrement...

This paper describes three measures of financial risk –Value at Risk (VaR) based on the Gaussian distribution, VaR based on extreme value theory and conditional VaR (expected shortfall) – and shows an application of these measures to the withdrawals of deposits in the Bolivian financial...

In their path-finding 1973 paper Black and Scholes presented two separate derivations of their famous option pricing partial differential equation (pde). The second derivation was from the standpoint that was Black’s original motivation, namely, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). We show...

The article analyses an approach to construction of the mathematical model for the commercial banking industry based upon set theory, abstract algebra, and computational linguistics.