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one-period probit model used by Cole and Gunther (1998). Using data on U.S. bank failures from 1985 – 1992, we find that …, from an econometric perspective, the hazard model is more accurate than the probit model in predicting bank failures, but … data from the 1980s performs surprisingly well in forecasting bank failures during 2009 – 2010. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615025
In this study, we analyze why U.S. commercial banks failed during the recent financial crisis. We find that proxies for commercial real estate investments, as well as traditional proxies for the CAMELS components, do an excellent job in explaining the failures of banks that were closed during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615045
period during which more than 1,300 banks failed. Bank failures are fundamentally important because of the unique role played … during this period. First, commercial real estate was only a factor in the bank failures of 1988-92. Second, construction … loans played a much larger role in bank failures than permanent loans, and the relationship is strongest with construction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615013
offsite monitoring system based on publicly available accounting data. Their findings suggest that, if a bank has not been … off-site systems derives from both their timeliness—an updated off-site rating is available for every bank in every …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615036
The paper focuses on empirical analysis of major factors that determine innovation activities of Russian manufacturing firms during the crisis. We presume that the crisis has ambiguous effects on firms' behaviour, on one hand limiting their financial capabilities to invest into new products...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082604
This is a prepublication version of the German language version of the entry on ‘Money’ (‘Geld’) in the ‘Historisch Kritisch Wörterbuch des Marxismus’, a comprehensive dictionary of Marxist terminology being produced as an accompaniment to the Marx-Engels-Gesamt-Arbeite (Marx-Engels...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619742
In this study we try to explain the inclusion of banks in the WDCI list proposed by Bloomberg. This list collects a group of more than 100 banking institutions which, during the crisis, suffered losses. We explain the probability of being part of the list (to suffer severe or highly severe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258405
This paper considers developments which have necessitated greater involvement and a greater role for the central bank … legislation such as the Banking Act of 2009 which has not only introduced greater statutory powers for the central bank, but also … the Special Resolution Regime. As well as a consideration of arguments which are in favour of the central bank’s role as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323454
The ability to predict bank failure has become much more important since the mortgage foreclosure crisis began in 2007 …, as well as several local or national economic variables to produce a model that is robust enough to forecast bank failure … for the entire commercial bank industry in the United States. This model is able to predict failure (survival) accurately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372631
This paper empirically investigates the causes of bank failures in Japan and Indonesia. Using logistic regression … analysis of financial ratios, we explore the usefulness of domestic bank failure prediction models with a cross-country model …, deposits and in some cases the ratio of non-performing loans, are the most significant predictors of bank failure in both Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278271