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The evil force of borrowing and the weakness of Quantitative Easing
De Koning, Kees - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2015
supervision authorities also did not see the need to interfere to manage the volume of lending. No single individual household ….8 million Americans lost their jobs. In 2013 the real median household income was 8% lower than the 2007 pre-recession level of … fixed amount per household by the Fed over a period of two to three years and repayment would be made out of future tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163523
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Using sentiment to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
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Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
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Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income affect consumption
Giamboni, Luigi; Millemaci, Emanuele; Waldmann, Robert - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
This paper studies whether anomalies in consumption can be explained by a behavioral model in which agents make predictable errors in forecasting income. We use a micro-data set containing subjective expectations about future income. The paper shows that, the null hypothesis of rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790423
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Measuring consumer inflation expectations in Europe and examining their forward-lookingness
Lyziak, Tomasz - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
This paper presents numerical measures of European consumers’ inflation expectations derived on the basis of European Commission qualitative survey data with different quantification methods, i.e. with the probability method, the regression method and the logistic (and linear) function method....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543492
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The case for higher frequency inflation expectations
Guzman, Giselle C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
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Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Zimbabwe
Bonga, Wellington Garikai - 2019
What matters to economic decision-making is whether the economy has become more or less predictable. People and businesses use information around them to form judgements about what might happen in the future. The rise in uncertainty might be associated with increased concern about extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866688
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Сучасні моделі фінансових криз
Petrushchak, Bohdan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
The theoretical aspects of three generation of financial crisis’ models are analyzed. On the basis of retrospective analysis of these models are determined the main causes than make the economic misbalance more profound and than cause a crisis. Проаналізовано теоретичні...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927055
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Herd Behavior and Cascading in Capital Markets: A Review and Synthesis
Hirshleifer, David; Teoh, Siew Hong - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2001
We review theory and evidence relating to herd behaviour, payoff and reputational interactions, social learning, and informational cascades in capital markets. We offer a simple taxonomy of effects, and evaluate how alternative theories may help explain evidence on the behavior of investors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619577
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How Do Individuals Choose Banks? An Application to Household Level Data from Turkey
Ardic, Oya Pinar; Yuzereroglu, Uygar - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
This paper uses a multinomial probit model to analyze individuals' choice of banks based on the types of banking services they use, their own characteristics, and their own perceptions about important factors in banking. Previous studies on this topic, which are limited in number, concentrate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835541