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In Albers & Albers (Spring, 2013) we demonstrated that the historic development of U.S. real GNP, 1869-present, may be structured in recurring 14-year periods. A steady-state rate of growth of 3.4969% is thereby calculated, generating an increase in real GNP proportional to the famous “Golden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260122
The Banks&Businesses Regional Observatory on Economy and Finance (OBI) and the University of Tirana carried on the first qualitative survey on Albanian enterprises between July and September 2008. The main advantages of qualitative surveys are that they are able to catch the “business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418487
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
I estimate a theoretically and statistically satisfying model to account for corporate profit represented by Net Rental Income (NRI) for one of the largest Real Estate Investment Trust companies (REIT) in the U.S. I claim that I have found an accurate method to forecasts the direction and dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837438
framework for inflation as a process of restructuring. Contrary to existing theories of inflation, which tend to take structure … and institutions as given for the purpose of analysis, we argue that inflation could be understood only in terms of … restructuring arises as an integral part of capital accumulation. On the aggregate level, inflation appears as stagflation, with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789620
In a enlarged néoclassical growth theory tradition, we presents the links between economic growth and investment. We argue that the business investment is both the main signal and cause of a new growth "potential". We study what are the main determinants of investment and show why and how its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210486
The paper seeks to integrate the theoretical developments in the field of imperfect competition and monopoly, and operation of the firm in such conditions, with the theories of income distribution, particularly among the macroeconomic aggregates of capital and labor. And formulating a working...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114400
The key socioeconomic indicators of Bangladesh have apparently experienced improvement since the advent of a new phase of democracy in 1991. This paper examines the impact of democracy on economic growth in Bangladesh using a cointegrated Vector Autoregressive model. Results suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108292
There is sufficient microeconomic evidence that holidays are important to economic life. Is there similar support at the macroeconomic level? This exploratory paper uses a simple approach to assess the impacts of holidays on the economic growth rates of 182 nations in 2002. It finds that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089331