Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 1,376
Cover Image
Previsão da eficácia ofensiva do futebol profissional: Um caso Português
Caiado, Jorge; Vieira, Aníbal; Bonito, Ana; Reis, Carlos; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
Cover Image
Economic scenario of United States of America before and after 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Sinha, Pankaj; Singhal, Anushree; Sondhi, Kriti - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
Deficit/ Surplus, Unemployment Rate, Inflation and others. We forecast the macroeconomic variables post 2012 using ARIMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260661
Cover Image
Modelling Time Series Count Data: An Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Model
Heinen, Andreas - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2003
This paper introduces and evaluates new models for time series count data. The Autoregressive Conditional Poisson model (ACP) makes it possible to deal with issues of discreteness, overdispersion (variance greater than the mean) and serial correlation. A fully parametric approach is taken and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260271
Cover Image
Aggiornamento del modello al 1974 e nuove simulazioni
Bianchi, Carlo; Calzolari, Giorgio; Corsi, Paolo; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1974
A well known macroeconometric model of the Italian economy is updated to produce forecasts at 1974.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595619
Cover Image
La modélisation macroéconomique comme processus de communication : pour une formalisation finaliste des équations de comportement
Buda, Rodolphe - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1994
The assumption we submit, because macroeconomic forcasts would be unperfect, is that behavioral equations doesn't enough describe economic behaviours through the capacity of reaction opposite to environment. Further, the forcaster belongs to his search-system, so that, may be, we must now...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836791
Cover Image
Standard errors of forecasts in dynamic simulation of nonlinear econometric models: some empirical results
Bianchi, Carlo; Calzolari, Giorgio - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1983
In nonlinear econometric models, the evaluation of forecast errors is usually performed, completely or partially, by … in this paper through experiments performed on a set of "real world" econometric models of small, medium and large size … one-period (static) forecast errors empirically. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506106
Cover Image
On the restricted reduced form of the Klein-I model: revised computations to complete "A note on the numerical results by Goldberger, Nagar and Odeh", Econometrica, 47 (1979)
Bianchi, Carlo; Calzolari, Giorgio; Corsi, Paolo - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1979
The numerical example which completes the paper by Goldberqer, Nagar and Odeh, on the estimated asymptotic covariance matrix of the reduced form coefficients for the Klein-I model estimated by Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS), has led to some misinterpretations of the properties of the model. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548838
Cover Image
The interest rate spread as a forecasting tool of greek industrial production
Gogas, Periklis; Pragkidis, Ioannis - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
variables: the Greek unemployment rate and the FTSE-100 stock index returns. The methodology employed in the effort to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470478
Cover Image
Forecast variance in econometric models
Calzolari, Giorgio - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1987
In econometric models specified as systems of simultaneous equations, forecast errors can be regarded as random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526968
Cover Image
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using a structural state space model
de Silva, Ashton - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
This paper has a twofold purpose; the first is to present a small macroeconomic model in state space form, the second is to demonstrate that it produces accurate forecasts. The first of these objectives is achieved by fitting two forms of a structural state space macroeconomic model to Australian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622122