fluctuations of output gap, however constructed or measured, are a good predictor of inflation in the UAE. This is carried out by … inflation in the UAE. …

This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …

For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …

A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … in previous study holds together with statistical estimates of goodness-of-fit and RMSFE. Relationships between inflation … relationships between the studied variables demonstrates the superiority of the latter. The cumulative inflation curve or inflation …

spending and world commodity supplies and the real exchange rate and real commodity prices. It is shown that fiscal expansion … and increasing world commodity supplies simultaneously lead to an appreciation of the real exchange rate and a decline in …

Countries in which inflation targeting has been adopted require high quality inflation forecasts. The Polish National … Bank adopted a variant of implicit inflation targeting and therefore the ability to forecast inflation is critically … important to policy makers. Since the domestic price formation process is still evolving, medium term inflation forecasting is …

This paper investigates the accuracy of point and density forecasts of four DSGE models for inflation, output growth …