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بررسي عوامل موثر بر قيمت طلا و ارايه مدل پيش بيني قيمت آن به كمك شبكه هاي عصبي فازي

Sarfaraz, Leyla; Afsar, Amir - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2005

Throughout the history man has considered gold as a precious metal and its forcast has always been important. Traditional methods of forcast, e.g.Regresion, ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing, Moving Average, and methods of this kind have been applied. Only recently Artificial Intelligence, Neural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005626880

The influence of variable selection methods on the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction models

du Jardin, Philippe - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012

Over the last four decades, bankruptcy prediction has given rise to an extensive body of literature, the aim of which was to assess the conditions under which forecasting models perform effectively. Of all the parameters that may influence model accuracy, one has rarely been discussed: the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107955

Bankruptcy prediction and neural networks: The contribution of variable selection methods

du Jardin, Philippe - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

Of the methods used to build bankruptcy prediction models in the last twenty years, neural networks are among the most challenging. Despite the characteristics of neural networks, most of the research done until now has not taken them into consideration for building financial failure models, nor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110766

MODELLING THE WORLD EXCHANGE RATES:DYNAMICS, VOLATILITY AND FORECASTING

Nwaobi, Godwin - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

Indeed, the specification of equilibrium in the world economy depends on the exchange rate regime and thus, the early … foreign exchange markets. However, the world has known several exchange rate systems beginning with the fixed-gold standard … exchange was deregulated, independent traders finally had access to the biggest trading market of the world; and these forex …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619306

Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Germany

Kitov, Ivan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007

Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a consistent (conventional) Phillips curve despite some changes in monetary policy. This Phillips curve is characterized by a negative relation between inflation and unemployment with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005786895

Liquidity-Induced Dynamics in Futures Markets

Fagan, Stephen; Gencay, Ramazan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

the world’s most actively traded physical commodity. Under normal market conditions, traders can easily find …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005786918

Infrastructure for Sustainable Growth: A Demand Projection Exercise for India

Majumder, Rajarshi - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

Critical precondition for attaining growth and sustainable development is availability of a host of infrastructural facilities in adequate quantity and of reliable quality. The association between the latter and growth is well documented and a large number of theoretical propositions conclude...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787048

Spill Over Effects of Futures Contracts Initiation on the Cash Market: A Comparative Analysis

Karathanassis, George; Sogiakas, Vasilios - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007

This paper investigates possible spill over effects on the Spot Market due to the initiation of Futures contracts in three different financial markets. According to many analysts there still exists a puzzle regarding the stabilization or destabilization effects of futures contracts. Although the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787056

Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending?

Dion, David Pascal - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006

The traditional consumption function based on the life cycle permanent income hypothesis (LC-PIH) considers that consumer spending is based on households’ expectations of their future income. However, in short-term forecasting, the traditional economic determinants of consumption do not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787072

A model of cyclical terrorist murder in Colombia, 1950-2004. Forecasts 2005-2019

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006

Abstract: This paper continues a research born in 1993 as a consequence of the growing concern regarding the escalation of violence in Colombia; its objective is to create an econometric model capable of forecasting the path of terrorist murder under different policy options and helping the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787136