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What matters to economic decision-making is whether the economy has become more or less predictable. People and businesses use information around them to form judgements about what might happen in the future. The rise in uncertainty might be associated with increased concern about extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866688
I evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of five models of Chinese and Indian energy consumption. The results are mixed, but in general the auto-regressive distributed lag and unobserved components models perform the best over multiple evaluation criteria. I then use these two models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114340
In recent years there has been a rapid and sustained growth of the service sector in the Indian economy. But unfortunately, while the importance of the services is growing statistical data and other relevant information of the services are abysmally low. There are problems relating to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014187326
aftermath of the Southeast Asian crisis, the limitation of the liberal capital regime for a developing country like India is … often highlighted in the literature. However, the probable impact of introducing KAC on CAB in India generally is discussed … theoretically. Though some of the existing studies in India have earlier focused on this research question, they have done so by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014194754
The purpose of this paper is to examine the progress in socioeconomic conditions across the major states of India by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014154852
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
The concept of unforeseen events is considered as a part of a hypothesis of uncertain future. The applications of the consequences of the hypothesis in utility and prospect theories are reviewed. Partially unforeseen events and their role in forecasting are analyzed. Preliminary preparations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110243
, private, mixed or cooperative. Also, I made a forecast of the occupancy rate for 2020, based on the values of this index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111807
The following article considers the practical use of temporary connections that arise between different exchange assets. The concrete recommendations to build a trading strategy based on the theory of market focuses are proposed. The main idea in this case is that strong positive correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258360
In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931