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We study discretionary equilibria in dynamic linear-quadratic rational expectations models. In contrast to the assumptions that pervade this literature we show that these models do have multiple equilibria in some situations. We demonstrate the existence of multiple discretionary equilibria by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543792
Interest Rate rules are often estimated as simple reaction functions linking the policy interest rate to variables such as (forecasted) inflation and the output gap; however, the coefficients estimated with this approach are convolutions of structural and preference parameters. I propose an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008693564
This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual inflation and inflation target, into predictable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113487
The new Keynesian monetary policy model studies the response of the inflation – output gap trade-off to policy decisions taken by the Central Bank, concerning the nominal interest rate time trajectory. Under an optimal setup, this model displays a saddle-path stable equilibrium and, if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619501
We make a case for the usefulness of an optimal control approach for the central banks’ choice of interest rates in inflation target regimes. We illustrate with data from selected developed and emerging countries with longest experience of inflation targeting.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621216
We study the existence and uniqueness properties of monetary policy with limited commitment in LQ RE models. We use a New Keynesian model with debt accumulation in the spirit of Leeper (1991) as a `lab', because this model generates multiple equilibria under pure discretion, and under full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008866115
This paper investigates the identification, the determinacy and the stability of ad hoc, "quasi-optimal" and optimal policy rules augmented with financial stability indicators (such as asset prices deviations from their fundamental values) and minimizing the volatility of the policy interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110286
The objective of this paper is to examine the impact of inflation gap from target, deviation from targeted inflation, to nominal interest rate decision of Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT) in Turkey. Recently, ıt is discussed whether inflation target (IT) regime is the only method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258258
The main purpose of this paper is to show evidence about the negative impact of oil price shocks in the economy of Spain. Since oil demand is continuously increasing all around the world and OPEC countries use to act having certain power to raise them, it is necessary to study how these price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008578252
The paper extends Bernanke and Mihov’s (1998) closed-economy strategy for identification of monetary policy shocks to open-economy settings, accounting for the simultaneity between interest-rate and exchange-rate innovations. The methodology allows a separate treatment of two distinct monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583558