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The aim of this paper is to introduce prospect theory in a game theoretic framework. We address the complexity of the weighting function by restricting the object of our analysis to a 2-player 2-strategy game, in order to derive some core results. We find that dominant and indifferent strategies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110809
to be employing a simple heuristic alternative to more complex learning models. Simulations of these various belief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011947
In this note we characterize the strategic implication of intrinsic correlation, introduced by Brandenburger and Friedenberg (2008), in the subjective correlated equilibrium setting of a complete information game. Intrinsic correlation restricts correlation devices to variables within the game,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005668411
We study a model of correlated equilibrium where every player takes actions based on his hierarchies of beliefs (belief on what other players will do, on what other players believe about others will do, etc.) intrinsic to the game. Our model does away with messages from outside mediator that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005108469
It is well-known that expected utility (EU) has empirical deficiencies. Prospect theory (PT) has developed as an alternative with more descriptive validity. However, PT’s full function had not yet been quantified in the health domain. This paper is the first to simultaneously measure utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258569
This short paper is devoted to two items: 1) An analysis of Prelec’s weighting function at the probability p = 1 is highlighted (this analysis was performed by R. Duncan Luce in two articles with Ragnar Steingrimsson and János Aczél and here is referred to as the “Luce problem”). 2) The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259321
In today’s insurance market there is a void that is any one person can have several insurance policies, this entails different providers, different payment schemes etc. There is an opportunity for an insurance company to unite all policies and create a universal insurance (UI) policy, an all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260919
According to prospect theory (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979), gains and losses are measured from current wealth, which serves as a reference point. We attempted to ascertain to what extent the reference point shifts following gains or losses. In questionnaire studies we asked subjects what stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260225
Procrastination is the notorious tendency to postpone work for tomorrow. This paper presents a formal model of procrastination based on expectations and prospect theory, which differs signficantly from the prevalent model of O’Donoghue and Rabin. Subject is assumed to work on a task for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226805
This short paper shows that the Allais Paradox and the Common Ratio Effect regarded as classic examples of the violation of the Expected Utility Theory Axioms – may be easily explained by assuming that changes in wealth (i.e. gains and losses) are perceived in relative terms. The preference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458513