Showing 1 - 6 of 6
We analyse the possible impact of EMU enlargement on inflation rates in the accession countries. Using a simple … applied to the enlargement EMU: our findings indicate that (trend) inflation rates in the EMU candidate countries are likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412769
This paper reviews the existing empirical evidence on the short-term impact on prices of fiscal variables and assesses it against new results from harmonised simulations, conducted with six well-established econometric models used by the ECB and five national central banks (NCBs) of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561299
in principle less restrictive approach is applied to operationalising expectations. Direct measures of inflation … expectations, ie OECD forecasts, are used as empirical proxies of economic agents’ inflation expectations. The main interest is in … the euro area as a whole, although potential heterogeneity of inflation dynamics is also examined across eleven EMU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126170
This paper studies the gain from using money as an indicator when monetary policy in made under data uncertainty. We use a forward and backward looking model, calibrated for the euro area. The policymaker cannot completely observe the state of the economy. Money reveals some of the private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126466
proposed policy is based on relative inflation forecast targeting and incorporates an ancillary target of declining exchange … volatility to differentials over the euro zone in both inflation (target variable) and interest rate (instrument variable) is … that use direct inflation targeting to guide their monetary policies. The empirical methodology is based on the TARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412757
The "New Keynesian" Phillips Curve (NKPC) states that inflation has a purely forward-looking dynamics. In this paper …, we test whether European and US inflation dynamics can be described by this model. For this purpose, we estimate hybrid … and leads of inflation, in contrast to the prediction of the core model. Second, the fraction of backward-looking price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412788