Showing 1 - 10 of 127
Euler equation models represent an important class of macroeconomic systems. Our research on the Leeper and Sims Euler equations macroeconomic model reveals the existence of singularity-induced bifurcations, when the model's parameters are within a confidence region about the parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076767
This paper reports on unsolved problems in our research on testing for nonlinearity and chaos and for designing bifurcation stabilization policies conditional upon macroeconomic models.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126121
techniques might led to erroneous interpretation of thebusiness cycle. As all methods have strengths and weaknesses, we derive a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412571
This paper is a follow-on to our earlier paper, "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems." In this paper, we determine the stability properties of the UK continuous time macroeconometric model on its bifurcation boundaries and we test the null hypothesis that the model's parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412602
Grandmont (1985) found that the parameter space of even the simplest, most classical models is stratified into bifurcation regions. But in such classical models all policies are Ricardian equivalent and all solutions are Pareto optimal. As a result he was not able to reach conclusions about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412635
Many empirical studies have found that interest rate increases have a positive effect on the price level. This paper pursues an obvious, but neglected explanation: interest payments are a cost of production that is at least in part passed on to customers. A model shows that the cost- push effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412732
This paper is a comment on Serletis and Shintani, 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence,' which is to appear in a special issue of the Journal of Macroeconomics on chaos in economics. The Editor of the special issue invited comments from discussants of all papers in the special issue, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412770
Using a recently introduced nonparametric test, I investigate two important and distinct asymmetries in cross …-country quarterly macroeconomic time series. Asymmetries are suggested by many theories (old and new), and those discovered aid in the …). Further, asymmetries can help determine underlying economic mechanisms. The key findings: positive growth rate asymmetry is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412800
This paper assesses the information content of two survey indicators for consumption developments in the near future for eight European countries in the period 1985-1998. Empirical work on this topic typically focuses on consumer confidence, the perceptions of buyers of consumption goods. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412814
This research investigates bifurcation phenomena in a continuous-time model of the United Kingdom. We use the Bergstrom, Nowman, and Wymer continuous-time dynamic macroeconometric model of the UK economy. We find that bifurcations are important with this model for understanding the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412844