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expectations to match the inertia in the data and to improve the fit of estimated New Keynesian Phillips curves. The empirical … results show that when learning replaces the assumption of fully rational expectations, structural sources of persistence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412860
adaptive expectations and partial adjustment mechanisms. The paper demonstrates the difficulty of interpreting distributed lag …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076678
and inflation indexation, that are typically needed in monetary models with rational expectations to match the persistence … replaces rational expectations, the estimated degrees of habits and indexation drop near zero. This finding suggests that … persistence arises in the model economy mainly from expectations and learning. The posterior model probabilities show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561139
rational expectations. This paper relaxes the assumption of rational expectations and it allows for learning instead. Economic … agents form expectations from simple models and update the parameters through constant-gain learning. I estimate the model by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126467
This work is focused on identifying a circular pull production control system (PPCS) and make emphasis on the presence of a stability attribute. It is an introductory paper to an extended study of macroeconomic financial stability in a physically open but systemic closed system. Previous work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126234
Potential output figures are important ingredients of many macroeconomic modelsand are routinely applied by policy makers and global agencies. Despite itswidespread use, estimation of potential output is at best uncertain and dependsheavily on the model. The task of estimating potential output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412571
This paper is a follow-on to our earlier paper, "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems." In this paper, we determine the stability properties of the UK continuous time macroeconometric model on its bifurcation boundaries and we test the null hypothesis that the model's parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412602
Grandmont (1985) found that the parameter space of even the simplest, most classical models is stratified into bifurcation regions. But in such classical models all policies are Ricardian equivalent and all solutions are Pareto optimal. As a result he was not able to reach conclusions about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412635
Many empirical studies have found that interest rate increases have a positive effect on the price level. This paper pursues an obvious, but neglected explanation: interest payments are a cost of production that is at least in part passed on to customers. A model shows that the cost- push effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412732
This paper is a comment on Serletis and Shintani, 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence,' which is to appear in a special issue of the Journal of Macroeconomics on chaos in economics. The Editor of the special issue invited comments from discussants of all papers in the special issue, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412770