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This paper examines the feasibility of rule-based forecasting, a procedure that applies forecasting expertise and domain knowledge to produce forecasts according to features of the data. We developed a rule base to make annual extrapolation forecasts for economic and demographic time series. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203714
Research on information systems (IS) use has often relied upon retrospective self-reports. One example is when the amount of time spent using a system is reported, often as an indication of user acceptance. In this study, self-assessments of computer usage are compared with computer-monitored...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197611
Three strategies for scientific research in management are examined: advocacy, induction, and multiple hypotheses. Advocacy of a single dominant hypothesis is efficient, but biased. Induction is not biased, but it is inefficient The multiple hypotheses strategy seems to be both efficient and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009214376
The following hypotheses about long-range market forecasting were examined: H<sub>1</sub> Objective methods provide more accuracy than do subjective methods. H<sub>2</sub> The relative advantage of objective over subjective methods increases as the amount of change in the environment increases. H<sub>3</sub> Causal methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009214724