Showing 1 - 10 of 52
Using a model of the resource allocation behavior of a group of firms, Joglekar and Hamburg (1983) demonstrate that unaided industry allocation to basic research is suboptimal and that in stimulating this allocation, provision of government seed money is generally counterproductive, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191131
This study compared the relationships between organizational context and the designs of environmental scanning systems for organizational with effective and ineffective scanning systems. The study analyzed data from over 100 North American business organizations. Results indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009218095
This paper attempts to relate the conditions that require different planning approaches. A theoretical planning framework is presented that considers the confidence of causal linkages coupled with the extent of environmental change. Prior planning research is synthesized to speculate on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009218205
Research on strategic planning has been handicapped by lack of an appropriate operationalizing scheme for measuring the success of planning systems. In this paper, an operational model for measuring planning system success is developed in terms of two interrelated dimensions---improvements in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009204125
Business Portfolio Planning techniques often suggest that firms should invest in industries with high profitability, high growth, or other attractive characteristics. Critiquing this view, we suggest that the same factors which lead to high profitability in an industry may cause its inefficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191136
that forecasting behavior systematically deviates from normative predictions: Forecasters overreact to forecast errors in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990449
We integrate a case-based model of probability judgment with prospect theory to explore asset pricing under uncertainty. Research within the "heuristics and biases" tradition suggests that probability judgments respond primarily to case-specific evidence and disregard aggregate characteristics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990558
This paper presents a new technique for forecasting frequencies of events over time for individuals. The technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009208983
A quadratic model for production-inventory planning was made famous by Holt, Modigliani, Muth, and Simon in 1960 in (Holt, C. C., F. Modigliani, J. F. Muth, H. A. Simon. 1960. Planning Production, Inventories, and Work Force. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.), especially for its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209094
This paper examines the forecasting accuracy and the cost effectiveness of time series models with time …-varying coefficients. A simulation study investigates the potential forecasting benefits of a proposed Kalman filter type adaptive … estimation and forecasting approach. It is found that: (1) When appropriate, the time-varying coefficient approach leads to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209300