Showing 1 - 10 of 11
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137030
Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145228
We introduce a "bad environment-good environment" technology for consumption growth in a consumption- based asset pricing model. Using the preference structure from Campbell and Cochrane (1999), the model generates realistic time-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis in fundamentals while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151389
A number of countries have delayed the opening of their capital markets to internationalquot; investment because of reservations about the impact of foreign speculators on both expectedquot; returns and market volatility. We propose a cross-sectional time-series model that attempts toquot;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774923
This paper shows that volatility induces adverse first order welfare effects in countries excluded from the global capital market. This result is illustrated in a model characterized by gains from a greater division of activities, where shocks are persistent. We show that non-linearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774994
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level and to examine two potential explanations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783965
This study uncovers a statistically significant negative correlation between volatility and private investment over the 1970-93 period in a set of almost fifty developing countries and provides a possible interpretation of this result by using the disappointment- aversion expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763700
The goal of this paper is to investigate the factors determining the impact of exchange rate regimes on the behavior of domestic investment and foreign direct investment (FDI), and the correlation between exchange rate volatility and investment. We assume that producers may diversify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232161
The purpose of this paper is to explore the implications of the deepening presence of multinationals in emerging markets on the cost of macroeconomic volatility there. We find that macroeconomic volatility has a potentially large impact on employment and investment decisions of multinationals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243418
This paper studies the impact of aid volatility in a two-period model where production may occur with either a traditional or a modern technology. Public spending is productive and quot;time to buildquot; requires expenditure in both periods for the modern technology to be used. The possibility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753834