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From noise to bias : overconfidence in new product forecasting
Feiler, Daniel; Tong, Jordan - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 6, pp. 4685-4702
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369114
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The loser's curse : decision making and market efficiency in the National Football League draft
Massey, Cade; Thaler, Richard H. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 59 (2013) 7, pp. 1479-1495
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783658
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Choosing to choose : the effects of decoys and prior choice on deferral
Hedgcook, William M.; Rao, Raghunath Singh; Chen, Haipeng - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 62 (2016) 10, pp. 2952-2976
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591806
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Overconfidence in newsvendor orders : an experimental study
Ren, Yufei; Croson, Rachel Toni Algaze - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 59 (2013) 11, pp. 2502-2517
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229348
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A behavioral model of forecasting : naive statistics on mental samples
Tong, Jordan; Feiler, Daniel - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 11, pp. 3609-3627
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772485
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Task decomposition and newsvendor decision making
Lee, Yun Shin; Siemsen, Enno - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 10, pp. 3226-3245
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760449
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Known unknowns : a critical determinant of confidence and calibration
Walters, Daniel J.; Fernbach, Philip M.; Fox, Craig R.; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 12, pp. 4298-4307
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785258
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The bad thing about good advice : understanding when and how advice exacerbates overconfidence
Soll, Jack B.; Palley, Asa B.; Rader, Christina A. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 4, pp. 2949-2969
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368330
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Simultaneous preferences for hedging and doubling down : focal prospects, background positions, and nonconsequentialist conceptualizations of uncertainty
Markle, Alex B.; Rottenstreich, Yuval - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 64 (2018) 12, pp. 5846-5959
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964688
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Social risk and the dimensionality of intentions
Butler, Jeffrey; Miller, Joshua B. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 64 (2018) 6, pp. 2787-2796
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011879026