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We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
This paper provides a novel five-component decomposition of optimal dynamic portfolio choice. It reveals the simultaneous impacts from market incompleteness and wealth-dependent utilities. The decomposition leads to implementation via either closed-form solutions or Monte Carlo simulations. With...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219152
We introduce a model for portfolio selection with an extendable investment universe where the agent faces a trade-off between exploiting existing and exploring for new investment opportunities. An agent with mean-variance preferences starts with an existing investment universe consisting of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271124
We propose a new asset-pricing framework in which all securities' signals are used to predict each individual return. While the literature focuses on each security's own- signal predictability, assuming an equal strength across securities, our framework is flexible and includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271188
Contrary to conventional wisdom in nance, return prediction R2 and optimal portfolio Sharpe ratio generally increase with model parameterization, even when minimal regularization is used. We theoretically characterize the behavior of return prediction models in the high complexity regime, i.e....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800453
This paper introduces a sparse and stable optimization approach for a multi-currency asset allocation problem. We study the benefits of joint optimization of assets and currencies as opposed to the standard industry practice of managing currency risk via so-called currency overlay strategies. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800968
We consider the problem of hedging a European contingent claim in a Bachelier model with transient price impact as proposed by Almgren and Chriss. Following the approach of Rogers and Singh [24] and Naujokat and Westray, the hedging problem can be regarded as a cost optimal tracking problem of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625872
developed and used for numerical studies. No-arbitrage conditions were also discussed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750653
A decision maker constructs a convex set of nonnegative martingales to use as likelihood ratios that represent parametric alternatives to a baseline model and also non-parametric models statistically close to both the baseline model and the parametric alternatives. Max-min expected utility over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456673
We provide the first tests to distinguish whether individual investors equally balance their overall portfolios (naïve portfolio diversification--NPD) or engage in naïve buying diversification (NBD)--equally balancing values in same-day purchases of multiple assets. We find NBD in purchases of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479521